Jets vs Browns Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL Preseason

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(AP Photo/Ron Schwane)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2023, 12:56 PM
  • The Jets are -1.5 point favorites vs the Browns
  • Total (Over/Under): 33.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC

The New York Jets visit Tom Benson Hall of Fame Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns on Aug. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Canton.

The Jets are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Jets vs. Browns Over/Under is 33.5 total points for the game.

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Jets vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jets-1.5 -11533.5 -110-125
Browns +1.5 -10533.5 -110+105

Jets vs. Browns Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this preseason game with 62.0% confidence.

Jets vs Browns Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jets and Browns, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Jets went 8-9 (-2.1 Units / -11.11% ROI).

  • Jets are 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 15.44% ROI
  • Jets are 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.25 Units / -44% ROI
  • Jets are 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.5 Units / ROI

Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last NFL season, the Browns went 8-9 (-2 Units / -10.78% ROI).

  • Browns are 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -19.96% ROI
  • Browns are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • Browns are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.28% ROI

New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns

The Jets were winless (0-3) vs top 10 offenses in the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .376.

The Jets were winless (0-9) when rushing at least 4 yards less than 5 times in a game in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .352.

The Jets were winless (0-7) vs top 10 pass defenses in the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.

The Jets were undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .549.

Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets

The Browns were winless (0-3) when allowing 250 or more passing yards in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.

The Browns are winless (0-9) when rushing for less than 100 yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .338.

The Browns were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.

The Browns are winless (0-5) after a road win since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .550.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns

The Browns ran successful plays on just 38.0% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last season — third-worst in NFL. Commanders allowed successful plays on just 41.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last season — best in NFL.

Browns TEs had 94 receptions in 17 games (5.5 per game) last season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Jets allowed 5.5 receptions per game to TEs last season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

The Browns scored on 8.3% of their drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed scores on 10% of opponent drives in the first quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL.

The Jets scored on 19% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 28.2% of opponent drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.

The Jets threw the ball 61.9% of the time in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-highest in NFL. The Panthers allowed 8.0 yards per dropback in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL.

The Jets scored on 14.3% of their drives in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Browns defense allowed scores on 16.7% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fifth-best in NFL.

New York Jets Offense: Important Stats

The Jets averaged 23.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 6.1.

The Jets averaged 21.0 drives per TD in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.1.

The Jets faced a blitz 23% of the time on 3rd and short in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 11%.

The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats

The Browns started 5 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for most in NFL.

The Browns have started 4 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 2nd half since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

The Browns threw the ball 49% of the time (519 Pass Attempts/1,052 plays) in the 2021 season — 5th-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.

The Browns have gone three and out 12 times in the 1st quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.

New York Jets Defense: Important Stats

Only 6% of the plays ran against the Jets were in the red zone in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 15%.

The Jets defense allowed first downs on 52% of rush attempts on 3rd and short in the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Jets defense allowed 15.8 points per game to opposing offenses (268 points / 17 games) in the 1st half in the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 10.9.

The Jets defense allowed 30.4 Points per Game (516/17) in the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 23.0.

Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats

The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 52.2 (102 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 85.6.

The Browns defense allowed a passer rating of just 17.5 in the red zone (10 Pass Attempts) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 98.4.

The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 37% of pass attempts in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Browns defense stuffed 44% (4/9) of rushing attempts on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.