- I pick my favorite Super Bowl prop bets involving Joe Burrow
- Lines provided by BetMGM sportsbook
Joe Burrow has led the Cincinnati Bengals to the Super Bowl. The question is whether he can continue his success against the Los Angeles Rams, who have the best odds to win Super Bowl 56 with a money line of -200.
Discerning how Burrow will perform regarding Super Bowl prop bets may be difficult considering how much the game script may affect his final numbers. But here are some of my best Super Bowl prop bets for Burrow for online sports betting.
Burrow has the second-best Super Bowl MVP odds at +210.
Best Joe Burrow Super Bowl Prop Bets
Joe Burrow Over 276.5 Passing Yards (-105)
Going over on this bet is a product of a couple factors.
First, Burrow’s talent and the skill of those around him. The Bengals have the second-highest rated passing offense, according to Pro Football Focus. On top of that, Burrow has passed for 277 or more yards in five of his last eight contests.
This is also within reason because the Bengals, according to their Super Bowl odds, will likely be trailing. They were behind against the Chiefs in the AFC Championship, and Burrow helped his team close the deficit and win in overtime.
When he did so, he threw 38 times, which tied for fifth among his games this season. If the Bengals do fall behind again, they will likely lean on Burrow’s arm again.
Joe Burrow’s Longest Completion Under 38.5 (-115)
The Bengals’ wide receivers certainly have the potential to go over on this, but their offensive line may get in the way.
Cincinnati is rated 25th in the NFL in pass blocking. In contrast, the Rams are first in pass rushing.
In essence, Burrow won’t have much time to throw downfield. But he’s arguably best in shallower areas of the field anyway. According to PFF, he’s graded first for passes between 10 to 19 yards long and is third for 0 to 9 among passers who have thrown 50% or more of the most attempts in the league.
The Bengals may craft ways to make explosive plays. But considering the Rams have PFF’s No. 1 defense, it won’t be easy.
Joe Burrow Over 0.5 Interceptions (-120)
With more passing volume, Burrow’s potential for making mistakes would increase.
The Rams are fifth in the NFL with 1.12 interceptions per game. They have four in the postseason alone. They have a good chance of continuing this trend against Burrow. His Super Bowl betting odds to throw two or more interceptions are +320, which is certainly worthy of considering as well.
The Bengals quarterback has thrown to the wrong team once in each of his past two games in the playoffs. He led Cincinnati to victory, but he wasn’t immune from making errors along the way.
Jalen Ramsey in coverage vs 49ers in the NFC Championship
🔒 31 cover snaps
🔒 2 targets
🔒 0 catches allowed
Ja'Marr Chase & Tee Higgins up next 🍿 pic.twitter.com/yotcMXeCmF
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) February 1, 2022
The Rams pose as a tough matchup because of their skill in the secondary. Jalen Ramsey, for example, is the top-graded cornerback in the NFL by PFF among players who have played at least 20% of the most snaps.
The Los Angeles defensive back has the potential to give Burrow’s best wide receivers like Ja’Marr Chase major issues. Especially if Burrow has little time in the pocket, he may force a few throws that lead to turnovers.