- I pick my favorite Super Bowl prop bets involving Joe Mixon
- Lines provided by BetMGM sportsbook
Joe Mixon compiled one of his best statistical seasons in 2021. And the Cincinnati Bengals running back will look to put together one of his best games against the Los Angeles Rams, who are favored in NFL odds at -4.5,in the Super Bowl.
Best Joe Mixon Super Bowl Prop Bets
Joe Mixon First To Score a Touchdown (+750) And Anytime (-140)
Mixon’s production this season would indicate he has a strong chance of being the first to score in the Super Bowl. He has the second-best Super Bowl betting odds to cross the goal line first and at any point.
He was the first to score in five of his 19 games for the season and led his team with 16 total touchdowns for the year. He’s in line for more.
His Super Bowl odds to score with the Bengals winning are +200, and for him to tally a touchdown with the Rams winning are +120.
No matter which way you see the game ending, Mixon will likely contribute points especially considering how much he’s on the field in the red zone.
No matter the final result, the Bengals may hope to be balanced early and establish a tempo on the ground. This would lend itself to Mixon seeing a good fraction of his work in the opening two quarters.
Watching the Bengals march down the field with Mixon in the mix and then him capping a drive with a touchdown from within 5 yards out is easily conceivable.
Joe Mixon Under 64.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The next two bets will require Mixon to find a middle ground of sorts. But numbers indicate there’s a good possibility of it happening.
Mixon has a career-best 1,395 rushing yards for the season. But he’s run for fewer than 65 yards in 10 of his last 15 games. He’s also facing a formidable defense.
The Rams allow 103.2 rushing yards per game to teams, which is sixth in the NFL. They also give up 4.0 yards per carry, which is seventh. Their run defense is rated No. 1 by Pro Football Focus.
Especially with a vulnerable offensive line, Mixon may have little space to maneuver.
And if the Bengals are trailing for a majority of the game, that doesn’t bode well for him in this category either. He’s run for more than 65 yards in just one of Cincinnati’s six losses for the year.
Considering how star-studded the Rams are, I’m forecasting a contest in their favor, potentially by a wide margin.
If the Bengals aim to catch up, Mixon will have little opportunity to rush for more than 65 yards.
Joe Mixon Over 95.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-110) And 26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Where Mixon may not have open space on the ground, he’s capable of finding some through the air. That’s especially true if the Rams have the upper hand.
Mixon has totaled 40 or more receiving yards in three of his last five games. He has PFF’s 10th-best receiving grade among running backs who have 50% of the most targets at that position. Eclipsing 27 receiving yards is within reach.
And in his last five games, Mixon accumulated more than 96 total yards four times. That’s while rushing for more than 65 yards just once.
Mixon can accomplish this feat again if the Bengals have to pass more to catch up.
Joe Mixon rushing this season (incl. playoffs)
💥 1,395 yards (2nd)
💥 1,030 yards after contact (2nd)
💥 14 TDs (4th) pic.twitter.com/UVI07zmWb5
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) February 1, 2022
The Rams bring PFF’s best-graded pass rush in the NFL, and the Bengals are 25th in pass blocking.
That means quarterback Joe Burrow will likely have little time to throw when he is dropping back. Dumping off to Mixon may be his only choice in those scenarios.