Can the Kansas City Chiefs Cover the Spread in Week 7?

The Kansas City Chiefs saved their season with the 31-13 victory against Washington last week. After starting slow in the first half, they dominated Washington and turned the game into a blowout. It’s the kind of turnaround that makes the NFL betting scene so interesting.

While Darrel Williams is only averaging three yards per rush, he was the first to find the end zone. A 2-yard pass to Tyreek Hill put the Chiefs ahead with a 17-13 advantage.

With some excellent performances last week, what does the Kansas City Chief spread look like for Week 7?

Kansas City Chiefs Win Against Washington

The Chiefs struggled in the first half against Washington. However, considering their difficulty starting the game, their turnaround in the fourth quarter was remarkable. It also showed the potential that the Chiefs have to dominate games.

The team as a whole averaged 3.9 yards per carry, but that number is misleading. The only reason it was so high is because of Mahomes three rushes for 31 yards.

Their saving grace was their passing game. They completed 68% of their pass attempts in Week 7 and average 69% for the year, which is the 7th best in the NFL.

Tyreek Hill had nine total receptions last week for 76 yards, and Travis Kelce had eight for 99 yards. The problem for teams that play Kansas City is that the Chiefs have multiple talented receivers, and all of them can outrun most defenders.

The Chiefs’ defense also played well, only allowing 13 points and holding Taylor Heinicke to 182 yards on 39 attempts. One area of concern for Kansas City is that J.D. McKissic had an average of 5.6 yards per carry. Imagine what MVP candidate Derrick Henry can do against this defense.

Keep an Eye on Mahomes

Mahomes threw for 397 yards last week and has thrown for 1,887 yards for the season. Unfortunately, he also has eight interceptions, including two last week.

Mahomes is a talented quarterback, but the pressure to put up 25+ points a week to win games will eventually get to him. The Chief’s defense forces the team to pass the ball often, putting undue pressure on the young QB. The Chiefs currently rank third in pass attempts. It’s not a coincidence that they’re also tied for 2nd in interceptions thrown with the less-than-stellar Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Chiefs Betting Spread for Week 7 (-5.5)

The good news for the Chiefs is that offensively, they’re 2nd in total yards gained, 2nd in passing yards, and 9th for running yards.

The bad news is that they can’t stop anyone. The Chiefs are 5th in total yards allowed and have given up the 6th most rushing yards in the NFL. Kansas City can put up a lot of points, but it doesn’t matter against a team like Tennessee that focuses on controlling the pace of the game with their rushing attack.

Patrick Mahomes is a great quarterback, but if he’s on the sidelines watching because the defense can’t get off the field, he becomes irrelevant.

I expect Derrick Henry to do what he always does, which is to wear the defense down and start hitting big plays later in the game. Ultimately, I believe this game comes down to who you trust more. Do you trust that Kansas City will suddenly find a way to stop the running game, or do you believe in the consistency of the Derrick Henry, Ryan Tannehill, and the Titans’ defense?

More Defense and Unexpected Plays

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