New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2023, 9:22 AM
  • The Celtics (35-15) are -8.5 favorites vs. the Knicks (27-23)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Thursday, January 26, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on TNT & TNT

The New York Knicks visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Knicks vs Celtics Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Knicks are 25-22 against the spread, while the Celtics are 25-23 against the spread.


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Knicks vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New York Knicks+8.5 -110O 223.5 -110+280
Boston Celtics -8.5 -110U 223.5 -110-350

Celtics vs Knicks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 70.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Knicks and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The New York Knicks have covered the 1H Spread in 56 of their last 82 games (+28.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 75 games (+25.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 away games (+19.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 76 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.16 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 54 games (+22.41 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 91 games (+15.99 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 87 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+9.86 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 92 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Knicks have gone 25-22 (+0.85 Units / 1.58% ROI).

  • 26-23 against the Moneyline (-0.5 Units / -0.65% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.41% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-23 (-0.3 Units / -0.56% ROI).

  • 35-14 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -5.58% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -10.39% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Under for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.3% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.52 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 91 games (-28.63 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 84 games (-22.15 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (-19.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 94 games (-18.47 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 78 games (-25.46 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 83 games (-21.96 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.52 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New York Knicks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 46 games (-20.28 Units / -35% ROI)

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New York Knicks: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Knicks are 18-28 (.391) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Knicks are 35-64 (.354) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .432

The Knicks are 23-7 (.767) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

The Knicks are 21-60 (.259) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Knicks

The Boston Celtics are 16-4 (.800) when they win the turnover margin this season — third-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (671 turnovers/46 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Boston Celtics are 42-17 (.712) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-best among NBA teams. The Orlando Magic have averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (1,803 turnovers/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.

The Celtics are 15-3 (.833) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

The Celtics are 33-3 (.917) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

Injury Report: Celtics vs. KnicksThursday‘s Game, Jan. 26

  • Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
  • Marcus Smart (Celtics): Smart said hope to return in a week or two.
  • Mitchell Robinson (Knicks): The Knicks announced that Robinson underwent surgery for a fractured right thumb and will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Evan Fournier (Knicks): Fournier is out for Thursday’s (Jan.26) game against Boston.

New York Knicks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks are shooting 43% (2,390/5,514) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Knicks have averaged 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (642 rebounds/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

The Knicks have averaged 10.1 assists per game (2,050 assists/202 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.8

The Knicks are shooting 44% (3,706/8,507) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (677 assists/ 297 TOs) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Celtics have made 15.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Celtics shot 38% from three (972/2,594) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Celtics have averaged 118.5 points per game (5,571 points/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.1

New York Knicks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Knicks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (308 steals/48 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Knicks have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,633 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Knicks have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (7,028 rebounds/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Knicks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (1,385 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 6.5 steals per game (306 steals/47 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Celtics have averaged 34.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,640 rebounds/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Celtics have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (732 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Celtics have averaged 7.0 steals per game (897 steals/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.