Kyle Hamilton: NFL Draft Odds, Pick Projection, Stats & Highlights

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(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
Colton Pool @CPoolReporter Mar 28, 2022, 6:44 PM

Playing safety, Kyle Hamilton was the furthest defender away from the line of scrimmage. Yet he ended up making the most important impact.

Only a freshman, Hamilton was on the field for a fourth-and-1 play against Navy. The Midshipmen lined up with a full house formation, then sent slotback Tazh Maloy in motion to the right. This was away from Hamilton, who has one of the top odds to be taken first overall in the NFL Draft.

But the Notre Dame safety instinctually followed. 

Maloy was a lead blocker for quarterback Malcolm Perry, who kept the ball himself. He seemed to have enough space on the perimeter for a first down. But Hamilton came screaming in and wrapped Perry up well behind the line of scrimmage.

This sort of intuition and range is exactly why Hamilton is being considered a top prospect, despite playing a position that’s been devalued in recent years.

Kyle Hamilton Draft Odds

Hamilton is tied for the ninth-best NFL Draft odds to be selected first overall at +10000. Michigan defensive end Aidan Hutchinson has the leading NFL Draft betting odds to be picked first at -200 as of March 9.

NamePositionTeam1st Pick Odds (4/28)
Travon WalkerDLGeorgia-450
Ikem EkwonuOLNC State+400
Aidan HutchinsonDEMichigan+400
Evan NealOLAlabama+2000
Kayvon ThibodeauxDEOregon+3000
Desmond RidderQBCincinnati+3000
Malik WillisQBLiberty+5000
Charles CrossOLMississippi State+10000
Ahmad "Sauce" GardnerCBCincinnati+10000
Jordan DavisDTGeorgia+10000
Derek Stingley Jr.CBLSU+15000
Kyle HamiltonSNotre Dame+15000
Matt CorralQBOle Miss+15000
Sam HowellQBNorth Carolina+20000
Garrett WilsonWROhio State+20000
Tyler LinderbaumOLIowa+20000
Kenny PickettQBPitt+25000
DeMarvin LealDTTexas A&M+30000
Kaiir ElamCBFlorida+30000
Carson StrongQBNevada+30000
Treylon BurksWRArkansas+30000
Chris OlaveWROhio State+50000

The Jacksonville Jaguars have the No. 1 overall pick. They could use help at essentially every position except quarterback after selecting Trevor Lawrence in last year’s draft.

Kyle Hamilton Draft Pick Projection

The New York Jets seem to be the right place for Hamilton to land, whether that’s at No. 4 or No. 10 (the Jets have both of those picks).

The Jets need help in a lot of areas. That’s especially true on defense, where they were last in DVOA a year ago according to Football Outsiders. Pass defense was the biggest issue, as they were 32nd as well.

Pro Football Focus ranked them 31st for defense, 30th for pass coverage, and 23rd for pass rush.

The question becomes how the Jets would value the safety position. 

They have the 10th pick this year because in July of 2020 they traded All-Pro Jamal Adams to the Seattle Seahawks after he was reportedly frustrated with the progress of a long-term deal.

The Jets should target Hutchinson or Thibodeaux if they fall to No. 4 overall. Pass rushers are increasingly becoming more vital to the success of a team.

But in a scenario where they’re already taken by the Lions and Texans, respectively, Hamilton may provide good value to the team. 

He possesses a generational-level skill set that would help the Jets mask their weaknesses in the secondary.

Kyle Hamilton’s Stats

For two years, Hamilton was an All-American and a semifinalist for the Bednarik Award, which goes to the top defensive player in the country. As a junior in 2021, he was also a semifinalist for the Paycom Jim Thorpe Award, which is given to the best defensive back in the nation.

Hamilton played just seven games in 2021 but totaled 34 tackles, two for loss. He added three interceptions, two against Florida State, and seven passes defended.

In 2020 as a sophomore, he racked up 63 tackles, 4.5 for loss, with a pick and seven passes defended. He helped his team reach the College Football Playoff semifinals. In that game, he recorded seven tackles, one for loss, and a pass breakup. 

In the ACC Championship that year, he accumulated a career-high 10 tackles, with eight in the first half alone, to go with an interception and another pass breakup.

He also was a Freshman All-American after playing in all 13 games and tallying four picks, one returned for a touchdown, and 10 passes defended in 2019.

Kyle Hamilton’s Draft Profile

Hamilton’s instincts are his greatest asset. He also possesses quick reflexes and outstanding acceleration. This allows him to capitalize and make pivotal plays, like picking off tipped passes.

Hamilton is also a disciplined tackler in the open field. He doesn’t often go for eye-popping hits. Instead, he plays sound and focuses on a sure takedown.

This past season, Purdue called an end-around on fourth-and-1. Hamilton saw the tight ends blocking toward the perimeter on the far side and barreled that way. He wrapped up the ball carrier’s feet and brought him down.

At 6-foot-4, 220 pounds, his length, quickness, and savvy allow him to cover a wide area in a small amount of time. He can play in a single-high defense, in the box, or can cover receivers out wide.

He also appeared smooth during field workouts at the NFL Combine. While a mishap led to him running a 4.59-second 40-yard dash, he was second among safeties in the broad jump (10 feet, 11 inches) and third in the vertical (38 inches).

Hamilton also reads quarterbacks’ eyes extremely well.

Against Florida State this past season, Hamilton was covering running back Jashaun Corbin deep downfield. Hamilton kept his eyes in the backfield, and when he saw the quarterback scramble to his right, the safety knew to move that way and stayed between the passer and Corbin. He was in position for an interception along the sideline, while managing to keep his feet inbounds.

Hamilton can occasionally be tricked this way. Clever quarterbacks may look another direction and bait Hamilton out of position while actually hoping to throw to another part of the field.

However, Hamilton’s talents are rare, so the Jets may not want to pass up on him.

NFL Draft Odds at BetMGM

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About the Author

Colton Pool

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Colton Pool is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM living in Bozeman, Montana, focusing on the NFL and NBA. Previously, he covered Montana State football at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle and worked at newspapers in his home state of North Dakota. He graduated from North Dakota State in 2015.

Colton Pool is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM living in Bozeman, Montana, focusing on the NFL and NBA. Previously, he covered Montana State football at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle and worked at newspapers in his home state of North Dakota. He graduated from North Dakota State in 2015.