- The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Lakers
- Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
- Tuesday, May 2, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on TNT
The Los Angeles Lakers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Lakers vs Warriors Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Lakers are 44-43 against the spread, while the Warriors are 42-46 against the spread.
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Lakers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Los Angeles Lakers | +4.5 -110 | O 227.5 -105 | +165 |
Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -110 | U 227.5 -105 | -200 |
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 62.2% confidence.
Warriors vs Lakers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lakers and Warriors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 77 games (+22.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 33 away games (+15.68 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.44 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 away games (+11.59 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 94 games (+17.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+15.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.26 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+12.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 44-43 (-3.35 Units / -3.42% ROI).
- 48-41 against the Moneyline (+13.2 Units / 8.78% ROI)
- 45-43 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -2.35% ROI)
- 43-45 against the Under for game total points (-6.5 Units / -6.64% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 42-46 (-8.6 Units / -8.78% ROI).
- 48-41 against the Moneyline (-25.15 Units / -10.93% ROI)
- 47-40 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 3.06% ROI)
- 40-47 against the Under for game total points (-11.7 Units / -11.95% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 94 games (-29.40 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 36 games (-27.70 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-26.32 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 45 of their last 96 games (-23.64 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 98 games (-21.26 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 77 games (-18.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.06 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.96 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 53 games (-16.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-16.05 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Los Angeles Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 55.5 rebounds per game (4,554 rebounds/82 games) this season — third-highest among NBA teams.
The Los Angeles Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Memphis Grizzlies have averaged 13.4 turnovers per game (2,198 turnovers/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275
The Lakers are 35-57 (.380) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Golden State Warriors are 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The Golden State Warriors are 63-23 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Sacramento Kings have averaged 50.5 rebounds per game (8,275 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — eighth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 36-21 (.632) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Warriors are 2-22 (.083) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .166
Injury Report: Warriors vs. Lakers – Tuesday‘s Game, May 2
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against the Lakers.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
- Mo Bamba (Lakers): Bamba is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against Golden State.
- LeBron James (Lakers): James is questionable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against Golden State.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Tuesday’s (May 2) game against Golden State.
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 7.0 steals per game (1,152 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.9
The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,888 steals/236 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,888 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,100 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
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