Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 12:56 PM
  • Pittsburgh (16-7) are -15.5 point favorites vs Louisville (3-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on ACC Network

The Louisville Cardinals (3-20) visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (16-7) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).

The Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville+15.5 -110O 139.5 -105+900
Pittsburgh -15.5 -110U 139.5 -115-1600

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 76.3% confidence.

Louisville vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Louisville and Pittsburgh, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+1.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 games (+23.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has gone 8-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI).

  • 3-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -44.92% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -20.95% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.25% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has gone 16-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+8.3 Units / 32.87% ROI).

  • 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.75 Units / 17.64% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (198 assists/ 357 TOs) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has averaged 7.8 turnovers per game (172 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (198 assists/ 357 TOs) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (99 assists/ 172 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has made 104 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Pittsburgh has attempted 593 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has attempted 294 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 5.0 steals per game (111 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Louisville has averaged 5.4 steals per game (118 steals/22 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Louisville has allowed 74.5 points per game (1,638 points/22 games) this season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (785 points/652 shots) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.13

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.2 steals per game (120 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Pittsburgh has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (624 rebounds/23 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (292 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.2 steals per game (120 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.