LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 08, 2023, 1:09 PM
  • Mississippi State (15-8) are -9.5 point favorites vs LSU (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The LSU Tigers (12-11) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-8) on Feb. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Starkville.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The LSU vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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LSU vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
LSU+9.5 -105O 125.5 -110+400
Mississippi State -9.5 -115U 125.5 -110-550

LSU vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 70.8% confidence.

LSU vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both LSU and Mississippi State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 35 games (+20.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has gone 7-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.28% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Over for -4.25 Units / -16.77% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Under for +2.1 Units / 8.32% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has gone 11-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -3.58% ROI
  • 6-17 when betting the Over for -12.7 Units / -50.2% ROI
  • 17-6 when betting the Under for +10.4 Units / 41.11% ROI

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (415 turnovers/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (706 assists/ 780 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU is shooting 40% (505/1,265) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (706 assists/ 780 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 24% from three (53/223) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (285/986) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 10.1 steals per game (344 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (408/1,382) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (165/517) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

LSU has averaged 9.5 steals per game (534 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mississippi State has 474 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (307 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.