- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the Athletics
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby
- Athletics starting pitcher: Drew Rucinski
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Seattle Mariners (-250) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+200) on Thursday, May 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:37pm EDT in Oakland.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Mariners vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 14-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 13-18 ATS.
Mariners vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -2.5 +105 | O 8.5 -110 | -250 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -130 | U 8.5 -110 | +200 |
Mariners vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+5.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 67% ROI)
Athletics vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Athletics vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Athletics vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Athletics vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Rucinski | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 28% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 14-16 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -7.42% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -11.39% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -2.22% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -7.11% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 13-18 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -20.97% ROI).
- 6-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -48.15% ROI
- 20-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.85 Units / 25.47% ROI
- 10-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -34.28% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 2 of 120 batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 1 of 61 left-handed batters (2%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 72% (169/236) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio is 13.0 (13/1) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.6 — 96th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .407 (11-for-27) against Drew Rucinski — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.
Drew Rucinski allowed an OPS of 1.058 (28 PA’s) — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .685 — fifth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Mariners are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Mariners are just 14-16 (.467) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Mariners are 8-78 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Athletics are just 56-8 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Athletics are just 0-4 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .893.
The Athletics are just 51-12 (.810) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .268 (280 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .220 (132 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Mariners are batting just .222 at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,181 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,516 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .285 (7,032 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 22 of 396 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .336 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Mariners have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.16 (116.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.49.
Athletics pitchers have walked 156 of 1,290 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.46 (272.2 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Athletics vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Aledmys DÃaz (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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