- The Blue Jays are -210 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Watch the game on SN1
The Seattle Mariners (+170) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-210) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Mariners vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 13 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 11-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 16-11 ATS.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -110 | O 13 -400 | +170 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -110 | U 13 +310 | -210 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+8.30 Units / 58% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt | 4.5 -250 | 4.5 +185 |
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 12-15 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -11.01% ROI).
- 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -22.75% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -5.3% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -4.44% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 16-11 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 10.3% ROI).
- 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 16.89% ROI
- 9-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -29.32% ROI
- 16-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 19.37% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 20 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (38/217) against Chris Bassitt this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has struck out just 15% (7/46) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (21/134) against Chris Bassitt this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mariners are just 8-5 (.615) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Mariners are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Mariners are 48-44 (.522) on the road since last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Blue Jays are 41-58 (.414) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Blue Jays are 2-8 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Blue Jays are 81-4 (.953) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .261 (249 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Mariners hitters have 23 extra-base hits out of 44 total hits (52%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (5,716 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Blue Jays are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .759 (5,716 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 12 double plays in 204 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 23 of 430 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 12 of 240 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 39% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Julio RodrÃguez (Mariners): Back, Day-to-Day
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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