- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert, 16.20 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Michael Grove, 3.00 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Seattle Mariners (+135) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Wednesday, March 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Mariners vs Dodgers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mariners are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 4-4 ATS.
Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -140 | O 10.5 -110 | +135 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +115 | U 10.5 -110 | -160 |
Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+3.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 away games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+13.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 3-6 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -35.39% ROI).
- 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -27.73% ROI
- 2-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -60.81% ROI
- 8-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 53.88% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 2.33% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 10% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 7.82% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -15.03% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .476 (39-for-82) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (153/537) versus Logan Gilbert last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 34% (172/508) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .276 (107-for-388) against Logan Gilbert last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — eighth Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Grove allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (22 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .253 — third Percentile.
Michael Grove allowed an OPS of .738 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .483 — fourth Percentile.
Michael Grove walked 2 of 54 left-handed batters (4%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.
Michael Grove threw breaking pitches 50% of the time (156/314) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 92nd Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mariners are 41-11 (.788) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Mariners are 9-59 (.132) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Mariners are 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 62-10 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Mariners are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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