- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Reds
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen, 2.07 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brandon Williamson, 6.54 ERA
The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+105) on Thursday, March 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in Goodyear.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mariners vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mariners are 9-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 10-7 ATS.
Mariners vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -115 | -125 |
| Reds | +1.5 -150 | U 10 -105 | +105 |
Mariners vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mariners vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mitch Haniger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 away games (+4.40 Units / 84% ROI)
- Curt Casali has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.20 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aristides Aquino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alejo Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 57 away games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 55 away games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 39 away games (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 away games (+11.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 away games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.41 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 134 games (+12.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-9 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -9.69% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 3.49% ROI
- 4-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -51.01% ROI
- 13-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 43.72% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 18.05% ROI).
- 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 2.94% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -32.35% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 23.02% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .310 (87-for-281) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .183 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has struck out just 15% (110/709) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen had a strikeout rate of just 21% (33/159) on low non-fastballs last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fifth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to July 25th, 2022 — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 8.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Williamson is making his MLB debut today.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mariners are 36-15 (.706) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 14-11 (.560) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 46-37 (.554) on the road last season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Reds are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Reds are just 4-86 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Reds are just 8-31 (.205) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are just 33-48 (.407) at home last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters drew 190 walks in 1,781 PA’s (11%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters slugged just .485 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Reds have won just 57% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Reds hitters had an OPS of just .676 (5,978 PA’s) last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 1,229 of 12,419 batters (10%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D15
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Mariners vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
