- The – are favorites vs the –
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Seattle Mariners () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 19-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 21-16 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 48.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Faedo | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Bryce Miller | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+2.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 19-19 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 1.17% ROI).
- 19-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.98% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 21-16 against the Run Line (+1.95 Units / 4.25% ROI).
- 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 18.46% ROI
- 19-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.85% ROI
- 17-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -8.7% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .074 (27 PA’s) against right-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .285 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 7% (1/14) against Bryce Miller — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .253 (40 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .687 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 12% (3/24) against Bryce Miller — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has limited playing time.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Mariners are 8-80 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Mariners are just 4-8 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .600.
The Mariners are 19-46 (.292) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 11-81 (.120) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Tigers are just 3-104 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Tigers are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .206 (170 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Mariners are batting just .177 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (5,428 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .348 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,428 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 22 of 431 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 103 of 1,419 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 8 of 212 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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