- The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Seattle Mariners (-185) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+150) on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Mariners vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 20-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 21-17 ATS.
Mariners vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -115 | -185 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -105 | +150 |
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+16.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+16.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+13.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 54% ROI)
Tigers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ibanez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Tigers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ibanez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ibanez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Logan Gilbert | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 20-19 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 3.23% ROI).
- 20-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.43% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 21-17 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 2.03% ROI).
- 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 15.35% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -2% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -6.06% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .199 (93 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .501 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .108 (93 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .057 (5-for-87) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .168 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has thrown elevated pitches 53% of the time (70/133) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (16 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .394 — second Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 56% (104/185) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .710 (22 Total Bases / 31 ABs) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (13/76) against Joey Wentz — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are just 0-6 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Mariners are just 4-8 (.333) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
The Mariners are 83-3 (.965) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Mariners are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Tigers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are just 11-82 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 21-44 (.323) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .200 (175 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mariners are batting just .219 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .172 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (5,458 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .611 (5,458 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .347 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 20 of 429 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 49 of 932 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 5 of 205 batters (2%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% against Tigers pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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