- The Angels are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Watch the game on BSW
The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-145) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Marlins vs Angels Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 26-25 ATS.
Marlins vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Angels | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Marlins vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 70.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.55 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+9.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
Angels vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Angels vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Angels vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jon Berti | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games (+4.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 19-32 against the Run Line (-20 Units / -29.24% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -2.59% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.35 Units / -13.15% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 5.06% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 26-25 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -1.97% ROI).
- 28-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.49% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -1.98% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.163 (60 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .736 — second Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .760 (19 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .415 (22-for-53) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (40/124) against Jesus Luzardo this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has a strikeout rate of 54% (29 SO in 54 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has walked 23 of 183 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (22/65) against Reid Detmers on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Reid Detmers has elevated his fastball 73% of the time (217/299) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Marlins are just 1-23 (.042) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Marlins are just 28-22 (.560) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Marlins are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Marlins are just 10-10 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 22-4 (.846) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Angels are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,726 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,726 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Marlins hitters have drawn 22 walks in 455 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 162 total hits (just 24%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .266 (601 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have 1,448 strikeouts in 5,616 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels have answered-back in 47% of innings after an opponent scores this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 47 of 451 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 169 of 1,891 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Angels vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D60
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Luis Arraez (Marlins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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