Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 21, 2022, 9:11 AM
  • The Dodgers (83-36) are -175 favorites vs the Marlins (52-68)
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara (11-5), 1.92 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot (1-0), 4.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 52-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-44 ATS.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -145O 7.5 -115+145
Dodgers -1.5 +120U 7.5 -105-175

Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 47 games at home (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.35 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 56 games (+10.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 115 games (+12.23 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 54-65 against the Run Line (-21.75 Units / -13.62% ROI).

  • 52-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.25 Units / -13.53% ROI
  • 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -12.91% ROI
  • 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.9% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 73-44 against the Run Line (+25.85 Units / 18.4% ROI).

  • 82-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 4.26% ROI
  • 47-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.25 Units / -15.75% ROI
  • 61-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.75 Units / 6.78% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (32/196) against Sandy Alcantara this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (115/196) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (255/462) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Sandy Alcantara has allowed an OBP of just .255 (663 PA’s) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 93rd Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryan Pepiot has limited playing time.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Marlins are just 51-57 (.472) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Marlins are just 41-6 (.872) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Marlins are just 8-26 (.235) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Marlins are just 7-28 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Dodgers are 60-4 (.938) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Dodgers are 68-4 (.944) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .887.

The Dodgers are 41-15 (.732) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 75-14 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Marlins hitters have 731 strikeouts in 2,635 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have 265 strikeouts in 939 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .274 (939 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (1,389 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .773 (3,261 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (3,228 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .831 (1,574 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins pitchers have walked 32 of 238 batters (13%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Dodgers have have still managed to win 44% of the time since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1261.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 292 of 4,248 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D10
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Head, D7
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Braxton Garrett (Marlins): Oblique, D15
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Back, D15
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.