- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Miami Marlins (+100) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+170).
The Marlins vs Giants Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 23-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 21-22 ATS.
Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -210 | O 7 +100 | +100 |
| Giants | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -120 | -120 |
Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 105% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+8.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games (+7.50 Units / 79% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Sandy Alcantara | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 16-28 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -30.85% ROI).
- 23-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 19-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 23-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 4.33% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 21-22 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -5.64% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -14.17% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -6.79% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -1.18% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sandy Alcantara has allowed a just .189 SLG vs right-handed batters (seventh best)– 91st Percentile and .652 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Sandy Alcantara’s pitches (420/765) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (204/363) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (55/213) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 5 of 196 batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .158 (95 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has allowed an OBP of just .222 (90 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (22/30) against Anthony DeSclafani on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 10-50 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Marlins are just 13-39 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Marlins are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Marlins are just 1-19 (.050) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are just 1-3 (.250) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Giants are just 15-4 (.789) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Giants are just 1-16 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Giants are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,640 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .632 (1,640 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .347 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Marlins are batting just .225 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .675 (518 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Giants hitters have 137 strikeouts in 518 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .151 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 71% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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