- The Giants are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-175) on Saturday, May 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Marlins vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 23-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 21-23 ATS.
Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -110 | +145 |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -110 | -175 |
Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 72.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+14.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.75 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jean Segura has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+8.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.10 Units / 78% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 86% ROI)
Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Giants vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Garrett Hampson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Garrett Cooper | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Wendle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+5.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 17-28 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -28.2% ROI).
- 23-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.53% ROI
- 19-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 24-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 6.24% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 21-23 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -7.25% ROI).
- 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 20-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -8.7% ROI
- 22-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.94% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .650 (13-for-20) against Braxton Garrett on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has averaged 89.4 MPH on fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .461 (35-for-76) against Braxton Garrett in non-two strike counts this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .340 — fourth Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has not walked any of the 39 batters that he has faced with runners in scoring position this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (53/85) against Logan Webb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (100/164) against Logan Webb this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (29/42) against Logan Webb — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (129/423) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 1-19 (.050) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Marlins are just 10-50 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Marlins are just 66-17 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Marlins are just 13-39 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are just 13-7 (.650) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Giants are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Giants are 19-19 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are just 1-3 (.250) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .285 (1,646 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,646 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,342 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have 438 strikeouts in 1,646 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Giants hitters have 284 strikeouts in 1,146 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Giants are batting just .149 with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Marlins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 988 of 13,750 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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