- The Marlins are -120 favorites vs the Rockies
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Miami Marlins (-120) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+100) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Marlins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Marlins vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 24-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 21-26 ATS.
Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | -1.5 +125 | O 11.5 -120 | -120 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -150 | U 11.5 +100 | +100 |
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.50 Units / 52% ROI)
Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Chase Anderson | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 28 games (+7.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 18-29 against the Run Line (-18 Units / -27.99% ROI).
- 24-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 2.2% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -14.15% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 5.79% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 21-26 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -13.57% ROI).
- 19-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -6.2% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -19.12% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 10.79% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 19 of 72 batters (26%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 30 of 183 batters (16%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 58% (203/350) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (195/560) against Edward Cabrera in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 51.2.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 30 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Chase Anderson. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 15th, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 13.
Chase Anderson has pitched 10.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Chris Bassitt has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Marlins are just 1-20 (.048) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Marlins are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Marlins are just 10-73 (.120) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Marlins are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Rockies are just 44-38 (.537) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies are just 0-24 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Rockies are just 9-16 (.360) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Rockies are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .637 (1,665 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,665 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .289 (3,361 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have 443 strikeouts in 1,665 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .357 (1,007 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 52 of 407 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 16 of 104 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.36 (938.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Andrew Puk (Marlins): Elbow, D15
- Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Toe, D10
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Jesús Sánchez (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
- AvisaÃl GarcÃa (Marlins): Back, D10
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
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