Merrimack vs Hartford Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 9:59 AM
  • Merrimack (11-16) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Hartford (5-21)
  • Total (Over/Under): 123.5 points

The Merrimack Warriors (11-16) visit Chase Arena at Reich Family Pavilion to take on the Hartford Hawks (5-21) on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in West Hartford.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Merrimack vs. Hartford Over/Under is 123.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Hartford Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack-8.5 -105O 123.5 -110-375
Hartford +8.5 -115U 123.5 -110+300

Merrimack vs Hartford Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this game with 64.9% confidence.

Merrimack vs Hartford Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Hartford will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Merrimack and Hartford, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 away games (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+6.40 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Hartford has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+10.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Hartford has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Hartford have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Hartford has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Hartford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+1.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has gone 11-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.35 Units / -15.82% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -11.35% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Over for -12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Under for +10.3 Units / 37.45% ROI

Hartford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Hartford has gone 7-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.65 Units / -42.01% ROI).

  • 2-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -59.47% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 58.9 points per game (1,414 points/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Merrimack has averaged 5.4 offensive rebounds per game (130 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Merrimack is shooting 30% from three (161/536) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (334 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 33rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Hartford Offensive Stats & Trends:

Hartford is shooting 33% from three (161/491) this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 10.6 steals per game (255 steals/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack has averaged 10.6 steals per game (255 steals/24 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Merrimack has averaged 19.6 defensive rebounds per game (471 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Merrimack has 255 steals this season — most among Division 1 Teams

Hartford Defensive Stats & Trends:

Hartford has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,410/3,132) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Hartford has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (444/1,210) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Hartford has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (190/498) this season — 8th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.