- The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Watch the game on BSOH
The New York Mets (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mets vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 17-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 20-15 ATS.
Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -105 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -115 | +135 |
Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+15.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Reds vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Reds vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 54% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-21 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -15.17% ROI).
- 17-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -21.37% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.43% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 20-15 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 11.69% ROI).
- 15-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -10.75% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 4.46% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -12.85% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 601 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 119 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — 2nd most among pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has averaged 98.9 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 93.3 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are 105-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Mets are 17-1 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .888.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 20-23 (.465) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Reds are just 19-29 (.396) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 62-6 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Reds are just 12-16 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,011 strikeouts in 5,136 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,136 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
The Mets have scored first in 66% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters are slugging .507 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .442.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have scored first in just 12% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Reds have not won a game in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 65%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 24% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 138 of 1,344 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers have walked 34 of 311 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .145 against Mets pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .314 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .332 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .323 against Reds pitchers with the shift this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 4% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Reds vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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