Miami (FL) vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 13

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North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2023, 2:01 PM
  • North Carolina (16-9) are -5.5 point favorites vs Miami (FL) (20-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (20-5) visit Dean Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-9) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chapel Hill.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)+5.5 -110O 155.5 -110+190
North Carolina -5.5 -110U 155.5 -110-225

Miami (FL) vs North Carolina Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this game with 60.6% confidence.

Miami (FL) vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (FL) will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) and North Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 49 games (+31.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.50 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+12.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has gone 15-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.05 Units / 14.78% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.6 Units / 12.09% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.27% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has gone 8-17 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.75 Units / -39.02% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -3.62% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (854 assists/ 606 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Miami (FL) is shooting 76% from the free throw line (297/389) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (FL) is shooting 48% (1,640/3,437) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Miami (FL) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (330 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 1,815 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina has a 41% free throw rate (543 free throw attempts/1,318 field goal attempts) this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina has made 399 free throws this season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.5 steals per game (220 steals/26 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.4 steals per game (494 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Miami (FL) has 494 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (882/1,951) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,815 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

North Carolina has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (637 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (631 turnovers/61 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.