Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 11:31 AM
  • Buffalo (14-16) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Miami (OH) (12-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (12-18) visit Alumni Arena to take on the Buffalo Bulls (14-16) on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Buffalo.

Buffalo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (OH)+8.5 -110O 152.5 -110+310
Buffalo -8.5 -110U 152.5 -110-400

Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Buffalo will win this game with 68.1% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Buffalo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+5.80 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games (+3.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.55 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Miami (OH) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (OH) has gone 14-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -31.73% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.38% ROI

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 12-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -5.58% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) is shooting 78% from the free throw line (671/861) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (OH) is shooting 77% from the free throw line (295/383) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (OH) has 15.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Miami (OH) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (742 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has made 7.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Buffalo has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (635 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Buffalo has averaged 79.0 points per game (1,738 points/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Buffalo has 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Miami (OH) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Miami (OH) has averaged 5.9 steals per game (321 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Miami (OH) has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Miami (OH) has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,425/3,132) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,393 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Buffalo has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (578 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Buffalo has 185 steals this season — 2nd most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo has averaged 8.4 steals per game (185 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.