Miami (OH) vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2023, 12:15 PM
  • Toledo (19-6) are -16.5 point favorites vs Miami (OH) (8-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (8-17) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (19-6) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Miami (OH) vs. Toledo Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Miami (OH) vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (OH)+16.5 -115O 155.5 -105+875
Toledo -16.5 -105U 155.5 -115-1600

Miami (OH) vs Toledo Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 75.0% confidence.

Miami (OH) vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (OH) and Toledo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games (+13.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Miami (OH) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (OH) has gone 10-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.05 Units / -53.23% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has gone 14-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.5 Units / -8.5% ROI
  • 16-7 when betting the Over for +8.3 Units / 31.44% ROI
  • 7-16 when betting the Under for -10.6 Units / -40.15% ROI

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (742 assists/ 632 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Miami (OH) has an eFG% of 52% this season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Miami (OH) has averaged 14.0 turnovers per game (309 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Miami (OH) has a TS% of 49% this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (335 assists/ 225 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Toledo is shooting 49% (672/1,375) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (856 assists/ 571 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Toledo has averaged 85.0 points per game (1,869 points/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Miami (OH) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (481 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Miami (OH) has averaged 5.9 steals per game (321 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Miami (OH) has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,245 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Miami (OH) has allowed an average of 1.33 points per shot (1,655 points/1,249 shots) this season — 2nd highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.25

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Toledo has 343 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has 154 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.