Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2023, 11:04 AM
  • Iowa (17-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Michigan State (17-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Michigan State Spartans (17-10) visit Carver-Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Iowa City.

Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Michigan State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+5.5 -110O 146.5 -110+200
Iowa -5.5 -110U 146.5 -110-250

Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 61.8% confidence.

Michigan State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Iowa vs Michigan State and all games with BetMGM


  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+12.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games at home (+10.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 14-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 9.33% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.17% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has 14.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (415/1,097) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (329 assists/ 243 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (941 assists/ 564 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has averaged 88.1 points per game (3,085 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (364 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (399/1,278) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 7.0 steals per game (405 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Iowa has 405 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Big 10 Teams

Iowa has averaged 6.2 steals per game (142 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5

Iowa has 141 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Big 10 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.