Michigan State at Purdue: Week 10 Over/Under Predictions

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BetMGM Staff @BETMGM Nov 02, 2021, 10:17 PM

Week 10 of the NCAA football season is here, and the Big Ten features some classic matchups. One game to look forward to next week is Michigan State vs. Purdue. The NCAAF betting lines on this game are drawing a lot of interest.

Read on for a comprehensive analysis of the Michigan State at Purdue game. Explore whether the Michigan State Spartans can remain in the hunt for the Big Ten championship. We will also discuss the offensive prospects for both the Spartans and the Purdue Boilermakers.

Michigan State Spartans Analysis

First, let’s take a look at the Spartans’ offensive prospects. The Spartans are winners of eight straight games.

They are 5-0 in the Big Ten and in the hunt for a national championship. Knocking off Ohio State and Michigan are keys to the Spartans’ national championship hopes.

The Spartans are capable of putting up big points. The offense scored 48 points against Western Kentucky and 42 points against Youngstown State. They also put up 37 against Michigan last week.

The Spartans’ offensive attack is led by running back Kenneth Walker III. In eight games, Walker has 1194 rushing yards. He is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt and has scored 14 rushing touchdowns.

Quarterback Payton Thorne is an ultra-efficient passer with 15 touchdowns and just six interceptions. Thorne also completes over 60% of his passes.

One of the biggest arguments against the Spartans before they beat Michigan was that they hadn’t played a very challenging schedule. The Spartans only victory over a current top-25 team before their win over the Wolverines came in mid-September against #24 ranked Miami University.

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

The Boilermakers are 5-3 overall, but their record does not indicate how good of a team they are. The highlight of Purdue’s season was knocking off #2 Iowa a few weeks ago.

Besides a 49-point explosion against UConn, Purdue does not put up a lot of points. They have not scored more than 30 points in any other game this season.

The Boilermakers do not run the ball particularly well. Their leading rusher, King Doerue, only has 363 yards on the season and averages just 3.9 yards per attempt.

Quarterback Aidan O’Connell has also struggled to get it going this season. He has nine touchdown passes on the year but has thrown an alarming eight interceptions.

Also in the rotation at quarterback is Jack Plummer. Plummer was the team’s starting quarterback in the summer but was benched due to lack of offensive production. The Boilermakers have passed for over 2200 yards on the season.

Michigan State (-3) at Purdue Projections

While Michigan State has the better record, this conference rivalry game is going to be tight. Purdue is capable of knocking off the best teams and winning with a stout defense. However, Michigan State hopes to keep their undefeated season alive with a win on the road.

I believe that Michigan State’s running attack will be too much for Purdue’s offense. The over-under is currently listed at 54. I don’t see these teams combining for enough points to reach the over. Therefore, I think Michigan State wins 27-20.

Do you think Michigan State can keep their undefeated season going, or do you believe that Purdue has another upset in them? Either way, sign up for BetMGM’s Michigan sports betting site or their Indiana sports betting site to place your bets on this game and all the other NCAA football action this season.

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Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.

Our BetMGM authors are sports experts, with a wealth of knowledge of the sports betting industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news across players, teams and coaches, providing betting previews and predictions, fun facts and more.