- The Washington Huskies are a -10 point favorite vs. the Minnesota Golden Gophers
- Minnesota vs. Washington Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
- TV Channel: FOX
Minnesota (2-1) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on Washington (3-0) on Sep. 26 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00 pm.
The Washington Huskies are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10 (-108).
The Minnesota vs. Washington Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Minnesota vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Minnesota | +10 -110 | 46.5 -110 | +310 |
| Washington | -10 -108 | 46.5 -108 | -375 |
Minnesota vs Washington Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 64.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Washington Huskies, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Minnesota vs Washington Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Minnesota Best Bets Today
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Washington Best Bets Today
- Washington has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- Washington has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Washington has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Washington has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 4% ROI)
- Washington has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.30 Units / 16% ROI)
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota Golden Gophers is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Minnesota is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.33% ROI
- Minnesota is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
- Minnesota is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington Huskies is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- Washington is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 2.78% ROI
- Washington is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Washington is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Washington
Minnesota is 6-2 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Minnesota is 6-1 (.857) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .680
Minnesota is 7-2 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .636
Minnesota is 4-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota
Washington is 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .651
Washington is 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .636
Washington is 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .606
Washington is 8-1 (.889) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .674
Matchup Notes for Minnesota vs. Washington
Washington had 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-22nd-best among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Washington’s offense averaged 2.0 passing TDs per game last season — T-25th-best among FBS offenses. Minnesota’s defense allowed just 1.2 passing TDs per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Washington had 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-3rd-best among Big Ten skill players. Minnesota’s defense allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 397 attempts last season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs gained 382 yards on 51 receptions (just 7.5 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota gained 2,380 yards on 244 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 skill players. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.8% of 397 attempts last season — 7th-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.0% of attempts last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s TEs gained 382 yards on 51 receptions (just 7.5 YPR) last season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota gained 2,380 yards on 244 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) last season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 skill players. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota’s WRs gained 1,580 yards on 129 receptions (just 12.2 YPR) last season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 12th-best among FBS defenses.
Minnesota gained 2,380 yards on 244 receptions (just 9.8 YPR) last season — 6th-worst among FBS skill players. Washington’s defense allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Washington Offensive Stats & Trends
Washington RBs had no touchdowns on 43 receptions last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9
Washington TEs have averaged 14.5 yards per reception (87 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.5
Washington QBs had 78 completions for 20 or more yards in the 2023 season– T-most among FBS Teams
Washington Skill Players caught 42 of 48 passes(88% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 61%
Washington Skill Players caught 77 of 97 passes(79% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter last season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 60%
Minnesota Defensive Stats & Trends
Minnesota allowed first downs on 78% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 49%
Minnesota did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1
Minnesota has tackled opponents for a loss on 89 of 423 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Minnesota tackled opponents for a loss on 89 of 423 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) last season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
Minnesota allowed first downs on 53% of pass attempts in close and late situations last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%
Washington Defensive Stats & Trends
Washington tackled opponents for a loss on just 50 of 461 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.
Washington had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Washington has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (20 completions/44 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 60%
Washington allowed 3,879 Passing Yards in the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Washington averaged a sack every 26.3 pass attempts (579 Pass Attempts/22 Sacks) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.3
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