Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 12:38 PM
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff (9-12) are -7.5 point favorites vs Mississippi Valley State (2-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-20) visit H.O. Clemmons Arena to take on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (9-12) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Pine Bluff.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi Valley State+7.5 -110O 132.5 -105+280
Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.5 -110U 132.5 -115-350

Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Arkansas-Pine Bluff will win this game with 68.0% confidence.

Mississippi Valley State vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas-Pine Bluff will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi Valley State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Mississippi Valley State and all games with BetMGM


  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 109% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has gone 14-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -16.36% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.25 Units / -25.88% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 17.32% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 57.3 points per game (1,260 points/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 9.1 assists per game (200 assists/22 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Mississippi Valley State has made 4.3 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 15.5 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/22 games) this season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has an eFG% of 45% this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is shooting 30% from three (152/506) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has a TS% of 43% this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is shooting 39% (477/1,232) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (464 rebounds/22 games) this season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (573/1,221) this season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,646 points/1,221 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Mississippi Valley State has allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 8.0 steals per game (169 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (461 points/328 shots) this season — tied for 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.25

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has forced 16.3 turnovers per game (342 turnovers/21 games) this season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.