Missouri vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 01, 2023, 11:03 AM
  • Missouri (21-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs LSU (13-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Missouri Tigers (21-8) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (13-16) on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Missouri vs. LSU Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri-4.5 -105O 148.5 -110-190
LSU +4.5 -115U 148.5 -110+155

Missouri vs LSU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri will win this game with 61.7% confidence.

Missouri vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 games (+25.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 19 away games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 19 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+6.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+4.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.4 Units / 19.08% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has gone 9-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-11.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -5.61% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -14.24% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.65% ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has made 655 field goals this season — most among SEC Teams

Missouri has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,832 points/1,350 shots) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.25

Missouri has made 9.4 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Missouri has averaged 40.7 points per game (895 points/22 games) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (415 turnovers/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (706 assists/ 780 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU is shooting 40% (505/1,265) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (357 assists/ 415 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Missouri has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (168/451) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Missouri has forced 18.2 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (408/1,382) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

LSU has averaged 9.5 steals per game (534 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

LSU has averaged 9.5 steals per game (534 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (165/517) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.