- Murray State (11-10) are -1.5 point favorites vs Missouri State (11-10)
- Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN3
The Missouri State Bears (11-10) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (11-10) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Murray.
Murray State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Missouri State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 130.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri State | +1.5 -125 | 130.5 -110 | -110 |
| Murray State | -1.5 +105 | 130.5 -110 | -110 |
Missouri State vs Murray State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Murray State will win this game with 52.4% confidence.
Missouri State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri State and Murray State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games (+6.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 away games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Murray State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 games (+27.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+4.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has gone 11-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -7.3% ROI
- 6-14 when betting the Over for -9.45 Units / -42.86% ROI
- 14-6 when betting the Under for +7.4 Units / 33.71% ROI
Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Murray State has gone 9-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / -13.9% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 14.68% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has averaged 65.5 points per game (1,376 points/21 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8
Missouri State has averaged 11.5 assists per game (241 assists/21 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Missouri State has averaged 65.5 points per game (1,376 points/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.5
Missouri State has 15.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.0
Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has attempted 1,077 free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State has a 33% free throw rate (1,077 free throw attempts/3,259 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 29%
Murray State has a 34% free throw rate (409 free throw attempts/1,204 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 44th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Murray State has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (236 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has allowed 62.5 points per game (1,313 points/21 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.5
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (144/435) this season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%
Missouri State has forced 12.8 turnovers per game (268 turnovers/21 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8
Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (3,655 points/3,097 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Murray State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (115 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Murray State has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (555 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Murray State has 381 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams
Murray State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (381 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
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