- The Astros are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Watch the game on FOX
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-175) on Saturday, August 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 58-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 60-57 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -135 | O 9.5 -110 | +145 |
| Astros | -1.5 +110 | U 9.5 -110 | -175 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 76.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+22.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mike Moustakas has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+14.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+14.00 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+14.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.55 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Cristian Javier has hit the Strikeouts Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Tyler Anderson | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 41 away games (+6.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.14 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+1.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+5.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 55-62 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -9.03% ROI).
- 58-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -4.45% ROI
- 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -3.61% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 60-57 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.27% ROI).
- 67-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 0.72% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.05% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -3.82% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb threw his changeup 41% of the time (701/1,717) in non-two strike counts in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 63% (169/270) against Alex Cobb in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 60% (136/225) against Alex Cobb in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Alex Cobb threw his changeup 51% of the time (585/1,149) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (77/130) against J.P. France this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (6/54) against J.P. France with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 16% (78/475) against J.P. France in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
J.P. France has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to July 14th — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 16.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 16-72 (.182) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Angels are just 46-9 (.836) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Angels are just 110-16 (.873) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 14-11 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Astros are 71-35 (.670) after a loss since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 117-13 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 34-17 (.667) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have a swing rate of 44% on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Angels are batting .266 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Angels hitters have put just 30% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels hitters have chased 37% of pitches out of the zone over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 543 strikeouts in 3,074 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 923 strikeouts in 5,155 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 89% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 226 of 2,477 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 104 of 1,037 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Angels pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 983 of 10,549 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D60
- José Abreu (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Phillip Maton (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D60
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Calf, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, D10
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
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