- The Astros (48-27) are -165 favorites vs the Angels (37-41)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-5), 4.23 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (5-3), 2.72 ERA
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Los Angeles Angels (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 37-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 39-36 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -115 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.40 Units / 52% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -150 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+20.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 59 games (+14.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-42 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -7.71% ROI).
- 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -14.68% ROI
- 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -11.69% ROI
- 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 3.21% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 39-36 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 6.4% ROI).
- 48-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 24-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.7 Units / -32.6% ROI
- 47-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.55 Units / 24.67% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has walked 20 of 133 left-handed batters (15%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 61% (155/254) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (73/204) against Michael Lorenzen on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .241 (34 Total Bases / 141 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (171/284) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents were hitless in 22 AB’s against Cristian Javier — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (130/256) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (429/893) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-22 (.120) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
The Angels are just 5-21 (.192) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 45-7 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Astros are 26-3 (.897) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Astros are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Astros are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Angels hitters are slugging just .366 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Angels hitters have 735 strikeouts in 2,887 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,073 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,861 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .266 (4,664 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels have allowed 1.56 runs per game (122/78) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (289.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 1.32 (54.2 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jeremy Peña (Astros): Concussion, Day-to-Day
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Concussion, Day-to-Day
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Right Elbow, D15
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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