Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (48-27) are -165 favorites vs the Angels (37-41)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-5), 4.23 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier (5-3), 2.72 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Los Angeles Angels (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Friday, July 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 37-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 39-36 ATS.

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -145O 8 -115+140
Astros -1.5 +120U 8 -105-165

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+11.65 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.40 Units / 52% ROI)

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Chas McCormick 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jake Meyers 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Jose Altuve 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Chas McCormick 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Jake Meyers 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Chas McCormick 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jake Meyers 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jose Altuve 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cristian Javier 7.5 +105 7.5 -150
Michael Lorenzen 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+11.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.30 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+20.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 62 games (+18.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 59 games (+14.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 76% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-42 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -7.71% ROI).

  • 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.8 Units / -14.68% ROI
  • 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -11.69% ROI
  • 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 3.21% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 39-36 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 6.4% ROI).

  • 48-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.75 Units / 8.44% ROI
  • 24-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.7 Units / -32.6% ROI
  • 47-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.55 Units / 24.67% ROI

Michael Lorenzen has walked 20 of 133 left-handed batters (15%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 61% (155/254) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (73/204) against Michael Lorenzen on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .241 (34 Total Bases / 141 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .400 — 99th Percentile.

Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cristian Javier has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (171/284) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents were hitless in 22 AB’s against Cristian Javier — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (130/256) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (429/893) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-5 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 3-22 (.120) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Angels are just 5-21 (.192) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 45-7 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Astros are 26-3 (.897) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Astros are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Astros are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Angels are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Angels hitters are slugging just .366 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.

Angels hitters have 735 strikeouts in 2,887 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,073 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,861 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros hitters have an OBP of .266 (4,664 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% over the last 14 days (13 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Angels have allowed 1.56 runs per game (122/78) in late innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (289.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 1.32 (54.2 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.

The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Concussion, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Concussion, Day-to-Day
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Right Elbow, D15
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.