Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 2

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Astros (49-27) are -160 favorites vs the Angels (37-42)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-2), 2.63 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (6-3), 4.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Los Angeles Angels (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 37-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 40-36 ATS.

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -150O 8.5 -115+135
Astros -1.5 +125U 8.5 -105-160

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 83.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 33 games at home (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jake Meyers 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Jose Altuve 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +375 0.5 -700

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Jake Meyers 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jose Altuve 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -225 0.5 +160

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jake Meyers 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jose Altuve 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Urquidy 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
Patrick Sandoval 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+10.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+19.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 60 games (+15.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-43 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -9.13% ROI).

  • 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -15.46% ROI
  • 35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -10.4% ROI
  • 40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.9% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-36 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 7.75% ROI).

  • 49-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 9.18% ROI
  • 25-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -30.96% ROI
  • 47-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.45 Units / 23.05% ROI

Opponents are hitting .444 (16-for-36) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.5 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (153 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.3 MPH on pitches away since the start of 2020 (199 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 87.8

Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 76.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (84 balls in play) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .531 (17-for-32) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .284 (86-for-303) against Jose Urquidy this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .282 (37-for-131) against Jose Urquidy’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 16th Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 3-22 (.120) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 46-7 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Astros are 27-3 (.900) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Astros are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.

The Astros are 27-16 (.628) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Angels are batting just .218 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Angels are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Angels hitters have 751 strikeouts in 2,916 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .280 (659 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Astros hitters have just 1,264 strikeouts in 6,259 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,861 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 1,574 strikeouts in 7,828 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 393.9 feet — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (374.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Astros pitchers have an ERA of 1.32 (54.2 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.