- The Astros (49-27) are -160 favorites vs the Angels (37-42)
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-2), 2.63 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (6-3), 4.35 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+135) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-160) on Saturday, July 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 37-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 40-36 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 83.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 63% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 19 games at home (+10.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 33 games at home (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Urquidy | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
| Patrick Sandoval | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+10.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+19.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 60 games (+15.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+11.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 36-43 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -9.13% ROI).
- 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -15.46% ROI
- 35-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -10.4% ROI
- 40-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.65 Units / 1.9% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 40-36 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 7.75% ROI).
- 49-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.75 Units / 9.18% ROI
- 25-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -30.96% ROI
- 47-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.45 Units / 23.05% ROI
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .444 (16-for-36) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.5 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (153 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.3 MPH on pitches away since the start of 2020 (199 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 87.8
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 76.1 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (84 balls in play) — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .531 (17-for-32) against Jose Urquidy on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (86-for-303) against Jose Urquidy this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .282 (37-for-131) against Jose Urquidy’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 16th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 3-22 (.120) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Angels are just 2-4 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-23 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Angels are just 32-7 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 46-7 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Astros are 27-3 (.900) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Astros are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Astros are 27-16 (.628) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .218 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Angels are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Angels hitters have 751 strikeouts in 2,916 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .280 (659 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 1,264 strikeouts in 6,259 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,861 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 1,574 strikeouts in 7,828 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have a groundball batting average of just .187 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 393.9 feet — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Opponents are hitting just .212 against Astros pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.22 (374.2 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 1.32 (54.2 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Triceps, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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