- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Thursday, June 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 30-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 28-27 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -110 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -110 | -145 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 83.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 49 games (+19.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+15.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Martin Maldonado has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.65 Units / 96% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reid Detmers | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 28-29 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -5.33% ROI).
- 30-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -3.24% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -5.79% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 28-27 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -2.14% ROI).
- 32-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.85% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -4.68% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -4.15% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has allowed an OBP of .619 (42 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .330 — 0 Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of 1.354 (42 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .778 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 61% (208/338) against Reid Detmers on sliders this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (24/69) against Reid Detmers on breaking pitches this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (543/1,117) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (489/746) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (117/191) against Framber Valdez this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (413/625) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 58-12 (.829) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are 53-25 (.679) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 47-71 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Astros are 84-53 (.613) after a win since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,491 strikeouts in 5,803 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have 2,038 strikeouts in 8,158 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have a swing rate of 35% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .267 (619 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Games involving the Astros have hit UNDER in 72% of their games (37.1% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Astros have won 94% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,091/8,110 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 417 strikeouts in 2,382 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,386 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 50 of 505 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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