- The Astros are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 30-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 29-27 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -105 | -135 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+17.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+4.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 28-30 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -7.34% ROI).
- 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.6 Units / -4.11% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / -0.2% ROI).
- 33-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.28% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -6.45% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -2.45% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .155 (34-for-220) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 48% (33 SO in 68 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 40% (76/188) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has walked 15 of 131 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (117/191) against Framber Valdez this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (489/746) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (153/230) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 24-4 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 53-25 (.679) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are 47-71 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Astros are 91-8 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Astros are 44-27 (.620) after a road win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (623 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters are slugging .272 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,035 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Angels hitters have 2,047 strikeouts in 8,200 PA’s (25%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 800 strikeouts in 4,491 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 420 strikeouts in 2,410 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have 55 extra-base hits out of 122 total hits (45%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 50 of 513 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,416 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Rengifo (Angels): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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