- The Astros are -165 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (+140) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-165) on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 30-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-27 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +140 |
| Astros | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -165 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+12.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+8.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jake Meyers | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jared Walsh | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Patrick Sandoval | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+1.65 Units / 7% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -9.49% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -3.36% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -5.83% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 30-27 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 1.95% ROI).
- 34-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.38% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -4.24% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 29% (36 SO in 126 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .090 (7 Total Bases / 78 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has a strikeout rate of just 23% (19 SO in 82 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 11th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has walked 12 of 60 batters (20%) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 40% (107/266) against Cristian Javier this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (45/166) against Cristian Javier this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Cristian Javier has thrown fastballs up 74% of the time (445/600) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .172 (20-for-116) against Cristian Javier this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 95th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 12-56 (.176) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 59-12 (.831) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 93-8 (.921) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Astros are just 1-14 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Astros are 23-13 (.639) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (626 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,381 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,043 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Angels hitters have 1,501 strikeouts in 5,856 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 800 strikeouts in 4,491 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Games involving the Astros have hit UNDER in 72% of their games (37.1% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Astros hitters have just 420 strikeouts in 2,410 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 51 of 521 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the Angels pitchers this season traveled 442.0 feet — — 4th shortest in MLB; League Avg: 458.4
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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