- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Astros starting pitcher: Jonathan France
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 30-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-27 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -120 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +135 | U 9 +100 | -150 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 69.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 48 games (+11.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.P. France | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 away games (+2.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 away games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 68% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 28-32 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -11.1% ROI).
- 30-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -7.23% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -7.34% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 31-27 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 3.52% ROI).
- 35-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.44% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -3.12% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -5.83% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning did not walk any of the 23 batters that he faced — tied for best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .111 (3-for-27) against Griffin Canning — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .218 — 95th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has a strike rate of 70% (124/178) — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has allowed an OBP of just .120 (25 PA’s) with two-strikes — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .239 — 95th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
J.P. France allowed a batting average of .345 vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .143 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (sixth best among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (14/20) against J.P. France on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
J.P. France has allowed a .707 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .204 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (tied for fifth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (11/16) against J.P. France — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 87-17 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Angels are just 12-57 (.174) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 23-13 (.639) after a road loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Astros are 141-79 (.641) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 47-71 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Astros are 14-4 (.778) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (2,381 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .275 (1,081 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have 1,501 strikeouts in 5,856 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .268 (626 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 420 strikeouts in 2,410 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 800 strikeouts in 4,491 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros have won 94% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 51 of 521 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH (1,469 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Angels pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 122 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Moore (Angels): Oblique, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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