- The Astros (89-49) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (60-78)
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (11-8), 2.58 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy (13-5), 3.51 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Los Angeles Angels (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 60-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-64 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -190 | O 7 +100 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 7 -120 | -135 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 65 games (+38.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 70 games (+18.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 65 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 away games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 64 games at home (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1200 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Urquidy | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -130 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 63-71 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 60-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.55% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 4.44% ROI).
- 86-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 47-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.65 Units / -27.04% ROI
- 80-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +28 Units / 18.84% ROI
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.797 (231 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.147 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.985 (102 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.103 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (213/550) against Shohei Ohtani this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.250 (70 total bases in 56 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among hitters with at least 202 total PA’s; League Avg: .598 — 99th Percentile.
José Urquidy: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (84/243) against Jose Urquidy this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (163/444) against Jose Urquidy this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 11th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 69% of Jose Urquidy’s pitches (833/1,213) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
44% of Jose Urquidy’s called strikeouts are elevated this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 5-11 (.312) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 37-4 (.902) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 46-21 (.687) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Astros are 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,332 strikeouts in 5,099 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 959 strikeouts in 3,580 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .282 (2,496 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 663 strikeouts in 3,654 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 793 strikeouts in 4,314 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 283 strikeouts in 1,573 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 464 of 5,167 batters (9%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 107 of 1,230 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.70 (607.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.83.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% against Astros pitchers this month (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1228.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.4
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Head, Day-to-Day
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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