- The Astros (89-50) are -275 favorites vs the Angels (61-78)
- Angels starting pitcher: Joseph Davidson (2-5), 6.41 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Luis Garcia (11-8), 3.99 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+220) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-275) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-130).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 61-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-66 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 +105 | O 8 -110 | +220 |
| Astros | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -110 | -275 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+17.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 38 away games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 59 games (+10.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 66 games at home (+15.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jeremy Pena | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -115 |
| Tucker Davidson | 2.5 -140 | 2.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 126 games (+26.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games at home (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 46 games at home (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 63 games at home (+7.95 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 43 games at home (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-11.65 Units / -6.93% ROI).
- 61-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.05 Units / -14.32% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.55 Units / -7.03% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.85% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-66 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 87-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 47-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -40.7 Units / -27.33% ROI
- 81-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +29 Units / 19.23% ROI
Joseph Davidson: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 45% (21/47) against Tucker Davidson this month (1 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Tucker Davidson was 114.4 MPH — 8th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.0
Tucker Davidson has struck out just 9% (2/22) of right-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of 45% (21/47) against Tucker Davidson — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 31% — 95th Percentile.
Luis Garcia: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .387 (24-for-62) against Luis Garcia on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .274 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .113 (8 GB hits out of 71 GBs) against Luis Garcia with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has 32 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 12th most among of 673 pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Luis Garcia has averaged 79.4 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Angels are just 7-35 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Angels are just 52-10 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 37-4 (.902) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Astros are 53-3 (.946) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Astros are 46-21 (.687) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Astros are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,522 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are batting just .235 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,522 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 2,254 strikeouts in 11,488 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 665 strikeouts in 3,659 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have just 795 strikeouts in 4,319 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 108 of 1,239 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 393.0 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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