Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Astros (88-49) are -225 favorites vs the Angels (60-77)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-6), 4.94 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1), 2.07 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-225) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 60-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-64 ATS.

Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -115O 8.5 -115+180
Astros -1.5 -105U 8.5 -105-225

Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 65 games (+38.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 70 games (+18.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 65 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 away games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 64 games at home (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)

Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Chas McCormick 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Jose Altuve 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Chas McCormick 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Kyle Tucker 0.5 -275 0.5 +185

Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Chas McCormick 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jeremy Pena 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jose Altuve 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Kyle Tucker 0.5 +125 0.5 -185

Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance McCullers Jr. 6.5 -105 6.5 -135
Michael Lorenzen 3.5 +100 3.5 -145
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 124 games (+29.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 63-71 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -8.27% ROI).

  • 60-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
  • 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.42% ROI
  • 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.55% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 4.44% ROI).

  • 86-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 3.28% ROI
  • 47-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.65 Units / -27.04% ROI
  • 80-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +28 Units / 18.84% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (41/215) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (115/215) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 11 of 72 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has located his breaking pitches away 63% of the time (144/229) this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 93rd Percentile.

Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (11/102) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (787/1,578) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/145) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (627/1,578) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Angels are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Angels are just 3-60 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Astros are 77-20 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Astros are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Astros are 34-12 (.739) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

Angels hitters have 951 strikeouts in 3,547 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Angels are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Astros hitters have just 662 strikeouts in 3,653 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Astros hitters have just 2,239 strikeouts in 11,419 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,049 of 11,328 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Angels have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% against Astros pitchers this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5

Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
  • Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
  • Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
  • Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.