- The Astros (88-49) are -225 favorites vs the Angels (60-77)
- Angels starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen (6-6), 4.94 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (2-1), 2.07 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-225) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Angels vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 60-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 70-64 ATS.
Angels vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | +180 |
| Astros | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | -225 |
Angels vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 65 games (+38.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 70 games (+18.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 65 games (+16.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 36 away games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+16.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 64 games at home (+15.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Astros vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Chas McCormick | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Astros vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.35 Units / 4% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 124 games (+29.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+3.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 63-71 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -8.27% ROI).
- 60-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.2 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.55% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 70-64 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 4.44% ROI).
- 86-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 3.28% ROI
- 47-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -39.65 Units / -27.04% ROI
- 80-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +28 Units / 18.84% ROI
Michael Lorenzen: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (41/215) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (115/215) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 11 of 72 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has located his breaking pitches away 63% of the time (144/229) this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 93rd Percentile.
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (11/102) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (787/1,578) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/145) against Lance McCullers with runners in scoring position since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (627/1,578) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-33 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Angels are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Angels are just 3-60 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 77-20 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Astros are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 4-36 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Astros are 34-12 (.739) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 951 strikeouts in 3,547 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .290 (1,519 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Angels are batting just .150 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 662 strikeouts in 3,653 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 2,239 strikeouts in 11,419 PA’s (20%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
The Angels have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,049 of 11,328 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% against Astros pitchers this month (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the start of last season is 392.9 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Astros vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jason Castro (Astros): Knee, D60
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D60
- Thomas Pressly (Astros): Neck, D15
- Joshua James (Astros): Lat, D60
- Justin Verlander (Astros): Calf, D15
- Aledmys Díaz (Astros): Groin, D10
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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