- The Blue Jays are -190 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Los Angeles Angels (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on Friday, July 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Angels vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 54-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 49-54 ATS.
Angels vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 77.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+23.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+17.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in his last 17 games (+17.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+15.55 Units / 97% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 44 games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+11.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 47 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+9.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 7.5 -140 | 7.5 +105 |
| Giolito | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 away games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 44% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 50-53 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -5.43% ROI).
- 54-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -3.37% ROI
- 50-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 46-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -7.24% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 49-54 against the Run Line (-8.25 Units / -6.35% ROI).
- 57-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 44-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -13.2% ROI
- 54-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 4.79% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .154 (298 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .148 (37 Total Bases / 250 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (21/131) against Kevin Gausman this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has struck out 35% (100/283) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 16-67 (.193) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Angels are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Blue Jays are 15-9 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Blue Jays are 59-83 (.415) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Blue Jays are 9-3 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 4-35 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .272 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .793 (993 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .342 (2,031 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .276 (772 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 52 extra-base hits out of 188 total hits (just 28%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 401 strikeouts in 2,044 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 212 of 2,354 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have 449 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 2nd most in MLB.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,512 of 16,200 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 743 of 9,967 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 15 of 110 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Shohei Ohtani (Angels): Cramping, Day-to-Day
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
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