- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Angels / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | ATV
The Los Angeles Angels (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Friday, July 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Angels are 43-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 54-32 ATS.
Angels vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 5-6, 4.70 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 4-1, 2.60 ERA
Angels vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 9.5 -115 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 9.5 -105 | -165 |
Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+12.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.55 Units / 77% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.40 Units / 335% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 games (+7.80 Units / 156% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 55 games (+16.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+13.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+10.54 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 86 games (+20.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games (+18.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+14.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.34 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 46-40 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -2.39% ROI).
- 43-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.3 Units / 9.77% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.82 Units / 0.86% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.22 Units / -9.79% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 54-32 against the Run Line (+19 Units / 15.63% ROI).
- 49-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.14 Units / 8.81% ROI
- 48-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.75 Units / 9.13% ROI
- 36-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.35 Units / -17.09% ROI
Blue Jays vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Soler (LAA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Blue Jays vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jo Adell (LAA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Blue Jays vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks (LAA) | 2.5 -110 | 2.5 -118 |
| Eric Lauer (TOR) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 94.0 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (38/251) against Kyle Hendricks this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .383 (18-for-47) against Kyle Hendricks’ low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .266 — third Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has a strikeout rate of just 32% (60 SO in 186 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
78% of Eric Lauer’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (38/120) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.
Eric Lauer has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (220/504) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Eric Lauer has thrown fastballs up 59% of the time (193/329) this season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Angels were just 11-37 (.229) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Angels are just 87-7 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Angels are just 68-15 (.819) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.
The Angels are 11-2 (.846) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Blue Jays are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Blue Jays are 6-28 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Blue Jays are 38-10 (.792) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 7-28 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .210 (1,757 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .273 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 80 double plays in 636 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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