Angels vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Braves (56-38) are -155 favorites vs the Angels (39-53)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (9-4), 2.37 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (5-4), 4.45 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Angels vs Braves Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 39-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 48-46 ATS.

Angels vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -165O 7 +100+125
Braves -1.5 +135U 7 -120-155

Angels vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 80 games (+18.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 51 games (+16.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 56 of his last 82 games (+15.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 49 of his last 80 games (+13.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 82 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)

Braves vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Matt Olson 0.5 +300 0.5 -500

Braves vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Braves vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Matt Olson 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Braves vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani 7.5 -160 7.5 +110
Charlie Morton 8.5 +115 8.5 -160
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 68 games (+21.97 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games (+14.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+8.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 42-50 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -9.42% ROI).

  • 39-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.25 Units / -21.37% ROI
  • 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.19% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 48-46 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -2.09% ROI).

  • 56-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.34% ROI
  • 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI
  • 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -5.51% ROI

Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.657 (197 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.151 — 97th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has drawn 53 walks in 213 PA’s (25%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 99th Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani has 60 barreled balls on non-fastballs since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (146/345) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (74/259) against Charlie Morton this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 44% (19/43) against Charlie Morton on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (371/844) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (35/121) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Angels are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 4-27 (.129) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Angels are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Angels are just 39-45 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Braves are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Braves are 31-20 (.608) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Angels hitters have 120 strikeouts in 349 PA’s (34%) against RHP this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 651 strikeouts in 2,383 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Angels are batting just .214 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .521 (505 PA’s) this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Braves hitters are slugging .702 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Braves hitters have 226 extra-base hits out of 532 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .495 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Braves hitters are slugging .444 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Angels pitchers have walked 13 of 79 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels pitchers have walked 17 of 121 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 76 of 847 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.