- The Braves (56-38) are -155 favorites vs the Angels (39-53)
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (9-4), 2.37 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (5-4), 4.45 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-155) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Braves Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 39-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 48-46 ATS.
Angels vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 7 +100 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -120 | -155 |
Angels vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s matchup with 69.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 80 games (+18.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 51 games (+16.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 56 of his last 82 games (+15.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 49 of his last 80 games (+13.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 47 of his last 82 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Braves vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Braves vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -160 | 7.5 +110 |
| Charlie Morton | 8.5 +115 | 8.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 43 of their last 79 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 68 games (+21.97 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 games (+14.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+8.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 42-50 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -9.42% ROI).
- 39-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.25 Units / -21.37% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.19% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 48-46 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -2.09% ROI).
- 56-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 1.34% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -5.51% ROI
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.657 (197 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 1.151 — 97th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has drawn 53 walks in 213 PA’s (25%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has 60 barreled balls on non-fastballs since the start of last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (146/345) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (74/259) against Charlie Morton this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 44% (19/43) against Charlie Morton on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (371/844) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (35/121) against Charlie Morton this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 4-27 (.129) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Angels are just 1-40 (.024) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Angels are just 39-45 (.464) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 49-13 (.790) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Braves are 31-20 (.608) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 120 strikeouts in 349 PA’s (34%) against RHP this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters have 651 strikeouts in 2,383 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .214 on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .521 (505 PA’s) this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .702 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
Braves hitters have 226 extra-base hits out of 532 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters are slugging .495 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Braves hitters are slugging .444 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 13 of 79 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 17 of 121 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have walked 76 of 847 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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