- The Braves (57-38) are -200 favorites vs the Angels (39-54)
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval (3-5), 3.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (11-4), 2.94 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Los Angeles Angels (+170) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-200) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Angels vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 39-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 49-46 ATS.
Angels vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | +170 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Angels vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 52 games (+17.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 57 of his last 83 games (+16.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 49 of his last 81 games (+16.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+14.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 39% ROI)
Braves vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Adam Duvall | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
Braves vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wright | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -125 |
| Patrick Sandoval | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games (+10.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 69 games (+20.97 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+15.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+7.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 62 games (+7.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 42-51 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -10.75% ROI).
- 39-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.25 Units / -22% ROI
- 42-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 46-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.2% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 49-46 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 57-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.7 Units / -6.41% ROI
Patrick Sandoval: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (18/46) against Patrick Sandoval this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.7 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (170 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 87.9
Patrick Sandoval has walked 21 of 176 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .419 (18-for-43) against Patrick Sandoval’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (65/117) against Kyle Wright in two-strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (85/144) against Kyle Wright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has a strike rate of 73% (189/258) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Wright has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (109/288) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 4-27 (.129) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Angels are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 34-8 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 32-20 (.615) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Braves are 23-6 (.793) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Braves are 50-13 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 660 strikeouts in 2,411 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 129 strikeouts in 377 PA’s (34%) against RHP this month (15 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .263 over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Angels hitters have 253 strikeouts in 1,017 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .710 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .564.
Braves hitters are slugging .499 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Braves hitters have 226 extra-base hits out of 533 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 18 of 129 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 12 of 70 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (8 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 4 of 17 batters (23%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (2 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% against Angels pitchers over the past seven days (2 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers have walked 76 of 856 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Robinson Canó (Braves): Head, Day-to-Day
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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