- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Angels / Braves TV Channel: FDW | FDSO | FDSE
The Los Angeles Angels (+125) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-150) on Thursday, July 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Angels are 42-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 36-48 ATS.
Angels vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Angels starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 5-5, 4.01 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 2-5, 5.89 ERA
Angels vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -170 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | U 9 -115 | -150 |
Angels vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nolan Schanuel has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+13.80 Units / 345% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 54 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 43 games (+14.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.39 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+2.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Angels are 45-40 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -3.31% ROI).
- 42-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 8.49% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.02 Units / 2.15% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.22 Units / -10.97% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 36-48 against the Run Line (-12.07 Units / -12.24% ROI).
- 39-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.03 Units / -21.05% ROI
- 33-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -19.84% ROI
- 47-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.8 Units / 11.59% ROI
Braves vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (LAA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Braves vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Schanuel (LAA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Taylor Ward (LAA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Braves vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| José Soriano (LAA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (106/160) against Jose Soriano this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (189/285) against Jose Soriano this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (63/103) against Jose Soriano in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (83/125) against Jose Soriano this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has allowed a slugging percentage of .549 (84 Total Bases / 153 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .390 — third Percentile.
Bryce Elder has allowed a slugging percentage of .740 (185 Total Bases / 250 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: .557 — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 49% of the time (277/565) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Bryce Elder’s fastballs (203/565) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels are 11-2 (.846) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-19 (.345) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Braves (Ranks 24th runs scored) today.
The Angels are just 60-80 (.429) after a loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 86-7 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are just 11-42 (.208) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Braves are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Braves are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Braves are just 10-52 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .210 (1,736 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .261 (617 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Angels are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers walked 135 of 1,436 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Angels pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 37% of the time over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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