- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Watch the game on BSSO
The Los Angeles Angels (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Monday, July 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Angels vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 55-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 52-51 ATS.
Angels vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -110 | O 9.5 -105 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | U 9.5 -115 | -225 |
Angels vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 81.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+23.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+17.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+17.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+17.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.90 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+19.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 43 games (+17.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Charlie Morton | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 37 away games (+6.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.10 Units / 43% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 61 of their last 103 games (+18.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 64 of their last 103 games (+16.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+14.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games at home (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -6.78% ROI).
- 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 50-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -3.64% ROI
- 49-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.43% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 52-51 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI).
- 67-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 5.34% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 4.89% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.35 Units / -13.58% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a batting average of .325 versus the heart of the order (10th worst)– seventh Percentile and just .204 versus other batters this season (tied for 10th best among non-qualified SPs)– 92nd Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 26 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Griffin Canning. — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 62.
Griffin Canning has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.5 MPH (220 batted balls) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 89.3 — fifth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 58% of the time (165/285) when he’s behind in the count this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 92nd Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (363/1,100) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (859/1,928) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (1,961/4,831) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (245/456) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 16-68 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Angels are just 6-109 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Angels are 9-3 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Braves are 17-15 (.531) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Braves are 41-28 (.594) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 18-7 (.720) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 20-13 (.606) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are batting .269 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .788 (1,010 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,154 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .534 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .884 (841 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Braves hitters are slugging .520 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 92 of 940 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 214 of 2,380 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 929 of 10,118 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D60
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Oblique, D10
- Brandon Drury (Angels): Shoulder, D10
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D60
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Angels): Pelvis, D60
- Zachary Neto (Angels): Back, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Devenski (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Michael Trout (Angels): Hand, D10
- Samuel Bachman (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shin, D10
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Ward (Angels): Face, D60
- Benjamin Joyce (Angels): Arm, D60
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