- The Guardians are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Chase Silseth, 4.50 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on BSW
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Tuesday, March 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Goodyear.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 4-8 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -145 | O 11.5 -110 | +145 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 11.5 -110 | -175 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 away games (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 away games (+3.35 Units / 167% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 78% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 110% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.15 Units / 102% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 150 games (+26.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 150 games (+8.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+5.96 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 9-6 against the Run Line (+3.85 Units / 20.98% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 26.65% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -36.72% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 28.53% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 4-8 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -36.12% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -31.46% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -3.77% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -3.42% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Silseth has limited playing time.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (89/266) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (471/793) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 69% of his pitches away (1,053/1,534) against right-handed batters last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (111/323) against Shane Bieber on fastballs since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Angels are just 73-77 (.487) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Guardians are 12-60 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Guardians are 46-35 (.568) on the road last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Guardians are 61-5 (.924) when scoring 5 or more runs last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .301 (1,518 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters chased 25% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,122 times in 6,163 PA’s (18%) last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters had 93 extra-base hits out of 341 total hits (just 27%) against LHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 795 times in 4,584 PA’s (17%) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .343 against LHP last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers walked 88 of 1,460 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Guardians pitchers walked 435 of 5,989 batters (7%) last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers had an ERA of 3.55 (710.0 IP) on the road last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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