- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Los Angeles Angels (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Friday, May 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 20-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 15-22 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+15.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+13.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+10.75 Units / 83% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+9.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Anderson | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 away games (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 18-20 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -8.38% ROI).
- 20-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -5.29% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -4.13% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 15-22 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -18.53% ROI).
- 17-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -19.1% ROI
- 12-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -35.26% ROI
- 24-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.9 Units / 26.75% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.5 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (352 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 87.0
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 34% of the time (50/147) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has recorded 12 of his 19 strikeouts (63%) against right-handed batters with his changeup this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (958/2,531) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has located his pitches away 56% of the time (159/282) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 24% (5/21) against Logan Allen — 7th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Logan Allen has located his fastball away 54% of the time (77/142) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 19% (9/47) against Logan Allen — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 21-10 (.677) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 12-42 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 21-70 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Guardians are 21-47 (.309) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Guardians are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,347 strikeouts in 5,200 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .259 (555 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Angels are batting just .220 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 984 strikeouts in 5,533 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .325 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,385 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (941 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Angels pitchers have walked 35 of 338 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 19 of 336 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 107 of 1,796 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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