Angels vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 10:50 AM
  • The Angels (61-79) are -105 favorites vs the Guardians (73-65)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (5-5), 3.66 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-2), 3.99 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 61-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 71-65 ATS.

Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +155O 7.5 -105-105
Guardians +1.5 -190U 7.5 -115-115

Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 away games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 76% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)

Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500
Austin Hedges 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Myles Straw 0.5 +1150 0.5

Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Austin Hedges 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Myles Straw 0.5 -175 0.5 +120

Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Austin Hedges 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Myles Straw 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Konnor Pilkington 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
Reid Detmers 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 65-72 against the Run Line (-12.65 Units / -7.48% ROI).

  • 61-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.05 Units / -14.81% ROI
  • 62-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -6.31% ROI
  • 65-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -1.58% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 71-65 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.38% ROI).

  • 73-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 5.29% ROI
  • 59-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 69-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.54% ROI

Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (659/1,473) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (14 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 98th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (247/447) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of just .486 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .753 — 97th Percentile.

Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Konnor Pilkington has limited playing time.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Angels are just 33-78 (.297) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

The Angels are just 18-24 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

The Angels are just 29-94 (.236) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Guardians are 23-132 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Guardians are 18-141 (.113) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Guardians are 124-20 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Guardians are 75-26 (.743) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Angels hitters have 974 strikeouts in 3,652 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .644 (3,437 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Angels hitters have 1,350 strikeouts in 5,177 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Angels are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Guardians hitters have just 677 strikeouts in 3,912 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% against RHP over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,066 of 11,441 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Angels have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 93 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 3rd hardest ball in play hit (114.9 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Forearm, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Zach Plesac (Guardians): Hand, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, Day-to-Day
  • Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.