- The Angels (61-79) are -105 favorites vs the Guardians (73-65)
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers (5-5), 3.66 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Konnor Pilkington (1-2), 3.99 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Los Angeles Angels (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 61-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 71-65 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Angels | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -105 |
Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -115 |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 away games (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Patrick Sandoval has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Reid Detmers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 76% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+14.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+12.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Myles Straw | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Amed Rosario | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Myles Straw | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Guardians vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Amed Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
Myles Straw | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Guardians vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Konnor Pilkington | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -165 |
Reid Detmers | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 65-72 against the Run Line (-12.65 Units / -7.48% ROI).
- 61-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.05 Units / -14.81% ROI
- 62-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.55 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 65-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -1.58% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 71-65 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.38% ROI).
- 73-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 5.29% ROI
- 59-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -10.98% ROI
- 69-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 2.54% ROI
Reid Detmers: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (659/1,473) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (14 Total Bases / 63 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 98th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (247/447) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of just .486 (72 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .753 — 97th Percentile.
Konnor Pilkington: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Konnor Pilkington has limited playing time.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 33-78 (.297) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
The Angels are just 18-24 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 133-24 (.847) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Angels are just 29-94 (.236) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 23-132 (.148) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 18-141 (.113) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Guardians are 124-20 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Guardians are 75-26 (.743) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 974 strikeouts in 3,652 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .644 (3,437 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Angels hitters have 1,350 strikeouts in 5,177 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 677 strikeouts in 3,912 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 27% against RHP over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,066 of 11,441 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Angels have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10 of 93 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (10 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 3rd hardest ball in play hit (114.9 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Forearm, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Zach Plesac (Guardians): Hand, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hand, Day-to-Day
- Jhonathan Diaz (Angels): Undisclosed, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Rib, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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